Australia needs to score 288 runs to secure a victory in the third Test against South Africa in Cape Town.

The Proteas reached totals of 329 and 387 runs during their innings. Wiaan Mulder contributed 115 runs for the home side, while Ryan Rickelton scored 101 runs. Simon Harmer claimed 4 wickets for 104 runs for the South African team.

The Australian side posted a score of 429 runs, featuring a century from Josh Inglis who scored 102 runs. CricViz reports that the PitchViz rating increased to 6.6 in the final session of play. Data from CricViz indicates that South Africa has a 54% probability of winning the match.

South Africa's false shot percentage was 11% during day four, following an 18% rate on day three. Australia has successfully chased targets of 282 and 279 runs since 2023. Between 2008 and 2019, Australia failed in 14 of their 17 fourth-innings chases when the set targets were between 200 and 350.

In 2002, Australia chased 331 for a four-wicket win against the Proteas. Ricky Ponting remained not out with 100 runs during that 2002 victory.