Key Takeaways
- Cotton seed germination rates fell to nearly 30% due to temperatures reaching 40-41°C.
- Authorities urge relaxation of seed-germination standards to ensure supply.
- Cotton cultivation may face shortage if seed supply is affected.
An unprecedented rise in temperatures has significantly impacted cotton seed germination in Punjab, according to the Cotton Ginners Forum chairman Ihsanul Haq. Normally, cotton seed germination should remain above 70% under suitable temperatures of around 30°C, but this year, the rate has dropped to nearly 30% as temperatures soared to 40-41°C in key cotton-growing areas.
Haq stated that the unusually high temperatures have caused cotton bolls to open prematurely, which could initially appear to increase per-acre production. However, the adverse impact on seed germination could lead to a shortage of certified seed for the upcoming 2026-27 cotton crop season.
To address the issue, Haq urged the authorities to temporarily relax seed-germination standards to enable seed companies to supply maximum quantities of certified seed to farmers. This measure is crucial to prevent a decline in cotton cultivation, which is vital for the agricultural sector in Punjab.
The National Seed Development and Regulatory Authority has decided to hold cotton travelling seminars in major cotton zones, including Rahim Yar Khan, Multan, Sukkur, Faisalabad, Tando Jam, and Sakrand. These seminars aim to bring together research institutions, agriculture departments, seed companies, scientists, experts, and farmers to develop a coordinated strategy for improving cotton production through quality seed, modern varieties, and improved production technologies.
Adverse weather conditions in recent years, coupled with inadequate and untimely weather forecasts, have been blamed for creating serious difficulties for agriculture, particularly cotton. Haq highlighted that any improvement in international cotton prices could have a positive impact on Pakistani markets and support an upward trend in local cotton and phutti prices.
The cotton industry in Punjab is facing a critical challenge, with the potential for a significant shortage of certified seed if the current situation is not addressed. The government and industry stakeholders are working together to mitigate the impact and ensure a stable supply of high-quality seeds for the upcoming season.
The seminars and the relaxation of seed-germination standards are part of a broader effort to support the cotton industry and maintain its importance in the agricultural economy of Punjab. The success of these initiatives will be crucial in ensuring a robust cotton crop for the coming season.
Any improvement in international cotton prices could have a positive impact on Pakistani markets and support an upward trend in local cotton and phutti prices.
Ihsanul Haq, Cotton Ginners Forum chairman
