Key Takeaways
- Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts near-normal monsoon rainfall for Gilgit-Baltistan.
- Above-normal temperatures may increase flood and landslide risks, especially in mountainous areas.
- Communities advised to stay alert and follow official advisories.
The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has issued a warning of potential flood risks for Gilgit-Baltistan as it forecasts near-normal monsoon rainfall for the region. The PMD's latest outlook also highlights that above-normal temperatures may exacerbate existing hazards, particularly in mountainous areas.
According to the PMD, eastern parts of Gilgit-Baltistan and nearby regions are expected to experience stronger warming, which could accelerate snow and glacier melt. This increased glacial activity, combined with seasonal rainfall, is likely to boost river flows and raise flood risks in vulnerable valleys.
The department cautions that intense, short-duration rain spells could trigger flash floods, landslides, debris flows, and slope failures in mountainous areas. These events pose a significant threat to communities living near rivers, streams, and glacial valleys, urging them to remain vigilant and follow official advisories closely.
Landslides and large rockfalls have already disrupted movement in Gilgit-Baltistan, with the Astore Valley Road closed at several points due to landslides. Additionally, road links to Chipurson Valley and Misgar Valley in upper Hunza have been blocked by landslides and mudflows following recent rainfall, cutting off remote communities.
The Gilgit-Baltistan Communication and Works Department has reported that these disruptions are adding fresh urgency to monsoon preparedness efforts. The department advises local authorities and residents to be prepared for potential hydro-meteorological hazards despite the near-normal rainfall forecast, which is expected to improve water availability in some areas.
While the PMD acknowledges that near-normal rainfall will help alleviate some concerns, it emphasizes that localized heavy rain could still create serious risks. Communities are urged to stay informed and follow official advisories to mitigate potential damage and ensure safety during the monsoon season.
